Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 12/11, 11:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1536 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1569
| Jay Clarke | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10 | 12-8.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/11 | Felix Gill Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/11 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | John Sperle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/11 | Yannik Kelm Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/11 | Adam Nagoudi Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 51% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.