Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Adrian Andreev vs Raul Brancaccio
Team pages: Adrian Andreev · Raul Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Andreev
Raul Brancaccio
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Andreev
7-3 (W-L)
Raul Brancaccio
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrian Andreev
1–0
Raul Brancaccio
(1 last)
- 23 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Andreev 1547 · Raul Brancaccio 1463
| Adrian Andreev | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1547 vs 1463).
- Adrian Andreev is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Adrian Andreev 1–0 Raul Brancaccio (1).
Statistics
| Adrian Andreev | Raul Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.4 | 10.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Adrian Andreev 1 – 0 Raul Brancaccio (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Andreev 1–0 Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/22 Challenger Genova | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Andreev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/11 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 08/11 | Ryotaro Taguchi Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Taranto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/11 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 01/11 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 26/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Hynek Barton Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Andreev vs Raul Brancaccio?
Our model gives 53% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.