Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 22:30
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Kenta Miyoshi
Team pages: Braden Shick · Kenta Miyoshi
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Kenta Miyoshi
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
4-6 (W-L)
Kenta Miyoshi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1446 · Kenta Miyoshi 1496
| Braden Shick | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Miyoshi (rating 1446 vs 1496).
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Kenta Miyoshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.3 | 11.8-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 33.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kenta Miyoshi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Dominick Mosejczuk Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 20/10 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/10 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Kenta Miyoshi?
Our model gives 54% to Kenta Miyoshi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.