Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 11/11, 14:30
Prediction: Maia Ilinca Burcescu vs Tzeng Mu-Jie
Team pages: Maia Ilinca Burcescu · Tzeng Mu-Jie
Prediction summary
Winner
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Tzeng Mu-Jie
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
4-6 (W-L)
Tzeng Mu-Jie
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maia Ilinca Burcescu 1496 · Tzeng Mu-Jie 1555
| Maia Ilinca Burcescu | Tzeng Mu-Jie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tzeng Mu-Jie (rating 1496 vs 1555).
- Tzeng Mu-Jie is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maia Ilinca Burcescu makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Maia Ilinca Burcescu | Tzeng Mu-Jie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.4 | 9.8-5.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 61% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Sarah Iliev W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Helena Stevic W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Ilinca D Amariei W50 Stara Zagora |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Raya Markova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Tara Wuerth W15 Varna |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Briyana Ivanova W15 Varna |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Anne Schaefer W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Tzeng Mu-Jie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Chrystal Lopez W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Samaira Pahwa W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Tamina Kochta W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Aya El Sayed W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Pippa Bosman W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Hikaru Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ye Eun Kim W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/01 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maia Ilinca Burcescu vs Tzeng Mu-Jie?
Our model gives 59% to Maia Ilinca Burcescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.