Tennis · M15 Las Palmas · 11/11, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolas Garcia Longo vs Karim Al-Amin
Team pages: Nicolas Garcia Longo · Karim Al-Amin
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Garcia Longo
Karim Al-Amin
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Garcia Longo
2-8 (W-L)
Karim Al-Amin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Garcia Longo 1447 · Karim Al-Amin 1549
| Nicolas Garcia Longo | Karim Al-Amin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karim Al-Amin (rating 1447 vs 1549).
- Karim Al-Amin is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Garcia Longo | Karim Al-Amin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.3 | 11.1-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 65% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Garcia Longo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jay Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | George Lazarov M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M15 Burgas |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Felipe De Dios M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Karim Al-Amin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Pablo Aunion M15 Las Palmas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Facundo Yunis M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Noah Lopez M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Igor Mandou Berranger UTR Pro Norfolk · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Henry Dornbusch UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Aiden Spoolder UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | James Pikkaart UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Jeremy Condere UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Garcia Longo vs Karim Al-Amin?
Our model gives 69% to Karim Al-Amin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.