Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 11/11, 12:00
Prediction: Salvador Monteiro vs Pavel Lagutin
Team pages: Salvador Monteiro · Pavel Lagutin
Prediction summary
Winner
Salvador Monteiro
Pavel Lagutin
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Salvador Monteiro
3-7 (W-L)
Pavel Lagutin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvador Monteiro 1453 · Pavel Lagutin 1520
| Salvador Monteiro | Pavel Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1453 vs 1520).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Salvador Monteiro | Pavel Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-9.9 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvador Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Karol Malirz M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Peter Sychev M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Artur Carvalho Rocha M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Rohan Mehra M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Michael Geerts Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvador Monteiro vs Pavel Lagutin?
Our model gives 78% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.