Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 11/11, 12:00
Prediction: Alejandro Lopez Escribano vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Alejandro Lopez Escribano · Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
6-4 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Lopez Escribano 1492 · Joao Domingues 1452
| Alejandro Lopez Escribano | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Lopez Escribano (rating 1492 vs 1452).
Statistics
| Alejandro Lopez Escribano | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.9 | 10.9-12.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 62% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Lopez Escribano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Hugo Maia M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Florian Broska M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/04 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/04 | Goncalo Marques M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Johan Nikles M25 Faro |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Daniel Batista M25 Faro |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/03 | Liam Hignett M25 Faro |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/02 | Henry Searle M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/02 | Rin Kojima M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Vasco Leote Prata Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Lopez Escribano vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 64% to Joao Domingues, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.