Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 11/11, 12:00
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Vasco Leote Prata
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov · Vasco Leote Prata
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Vasco Leote Prata
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
6-4 (W-L)
Vasco Leote Prata
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1519 · Vasco Leote Prata 1509
| Ivan Ivanov | Vasco Leote Prata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Vasco Leote Prata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Mazza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Vasco Leote Prata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Martins Rocens M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Piotr Matuszewski Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Ziga Sesko M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 17/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Ryan Colby M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Vasco Leote Prata?
Our model gives 66% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.