Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 11/11, 12:00

Prediction: Kenny de Schepper vs Garrett Johns

Team pages: Kenny de Schepper · Garrett Johns

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Kenny de Schepper Garrett Johns
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kenny de Schepper 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWWLLWW
Garrett Johns 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kenny de Schepper 1489 · Garrett Johns 1531
Kenny de SchepperGarrett Johns
Our model44%56%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Garrett Johns (rating 1489 vs 1531).
  • Kenny de Schepper dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 44% break avg.

Statistics

Kenny de SchepperGarrett Johns
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.41.3-0.8
Games (G-P)13.2-13.110.4-8.7
Aces8.52.4
Double faults2.11.9
1st serve %72.9%62.5%
Break %44%61.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kenny de Schepper

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Justin Lenders
M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
01/11 Jacopo Vasami
Challenger Taranto · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
22/10 Louis Wessels
M25 Sarreguemines
1-2 15-16 L
20/10 Tom Zeuch
M25 Sarreguemines
2-1 18-14 W
19/10 Timeo Trufelli
M25 Sarreguemines
2-1 8-7 W
18/10 Nicolas Gry
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 13-9 W
06/10 Daniel Jade
M15 Rodez
0-2 9-13 L
27/09 Filippo Romano
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
14/09 Finn Bass
Challenger Rennes · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
13/09 Alberto Barroso Campos
Challenger Rennes · Hard
2-1 20-18 W

Garrett Johns

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Malta
0-2 6-12 L
30/10 Cezar Cretu
M25 Malta
2-0 12-6 W
29/10 Leyton Rivera
M25 Malta
2-0 9-2 W
28/10 Daniel Tazabekov
M25 Malta
2-0 12-4 W
24/10 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/10 Samir Banerjee
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
2-0 10-7 W
22/10 Manish Sureshkumar
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
20/10 Arjun Rathi
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/10 Thanapet Chanta
M25 Solapur
0-2 7-13 L
28/09 Lorenzo Angelini
Challenger Bari · Clay
1-2 17-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kenny de Schepper vs Garrett Johns?

Our model gives 62% to Garrett Johns, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.