Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 11/11, 12:00
Prediction: Patrick Schoen vs Diogo Morais
Team pages: Patrick Schoen · Diogo Morais
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Schoen
Diogo Morais
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Schoen
7-3 (W-L)
Diogo Morais
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Schoen 1587 · Diogo Morais 1520
| Patrick Schoen | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1587 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Patrick Schoen | Diogo Morais | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.8 | 9-9.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 23.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Schoen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 12/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Diogo Morais
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 19/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Lucas Poullain M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Max Houkes M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Schoen vs Diogo Morais?
Our model gives 74% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.