Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 11/11, 11:00
Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
4-6 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1561 · Otto Virtanen 1532
| Dalibor Svrcina | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 40% break avg.
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-13.8 | 12.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/11 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/11 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/11 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 03/11 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Billy Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 30/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/11 | Laslo Djere Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 52% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.