Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 11/11, 06:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Billy Harris
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Billy Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Billy Harris
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Billy Harris
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1515 · Billy Harris 1489
| Fajing Sun | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-13.2 | 12.2-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Shintaro Imai Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Billy Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Liam Broady Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Kuan-Shou Chen Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Jangjun Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Billy Harris?
Our model gives 54% to Billy Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.