Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 11/11, 02:30
Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Bernard Tomic
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic
5-5 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bernard Tomic
2–0
Omar Jasika
(2 last)
- 05 Sept2-0 13-10W
- 02 Apr2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1566 · Omar Jasika 1583
| Bernard Tomic | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Bernard Tomic dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Bernard Tomic 2–0 Omar Jasika (2).
Statistics
| Bernard Tomic | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.9 | 12.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 40% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Bernard Tomic 2 – 0 Omar Jasika (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bernard Tomic 2–0 Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/25 Challenger Shanghai | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/04/24 Challenger Mexico City | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bernard Tomic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Blake Ellis Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Timofey Skatov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rigele Te ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/11 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Jake Delaney Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 03/11 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/11 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Alexander Donski Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yunseong Chung Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 53% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.