Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 11/11, 13:30

Prediction: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Louis Herman

Team pages: Lorenzo Bocchi · Louis Herman

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Lorenzo Bocchi Louis Herman
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Bocchi 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWLWL
Louis Herman 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Bocchi 1504 · Louis Herman 1484
Lorenzo BocchiLouis Herman
Our model53%47%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo BocchiLouis Herman
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.1-1.4
Games (G-P)9.5-9.510.4-11.5
Aces2.12.5
Double faults1.91.8
1st serve %70.4%67.8%
Break %44.6%35.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Bocchi

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 John Bothma
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
04/11 Igor Piasek
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
30/10 Simone Massellani
M15 Selva Gardena
0-2 7-12 L
29/10 Maximilian Figl
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 13-10 W
28/10 Davide Ciaschetti
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 12-7 W
27/10 Raffaele Ciurnelli
M15 Selva Gardena
2-0 12-7 W
07/10 Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
20/09 Lorenzo Berto
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 9-13 L
03/09 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
02/09 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Bologna · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Louis Herman

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Frederic Schlossmann
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 13-13 W
06/10 Justas Trainauskas
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 10-13 L
29/09 Oskari Eerola
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Yuichiro Inui
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
22/06 Dennis Andre Dutine
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
21/04 Reece Falck
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
11/02 Daniel Khazime
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
10/02 Alessandro Battiston
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/01 Stefan Seifert
M25 Hazebrouck
1-2 11-15 L
03/12 Samir Hamza Reguig
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Bocchi vs Louis Herman?

Our model gives 63% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.