Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 11/11, 00:00

Prediction: Kaya Moe vs Josephine Kunz

Team pages: Kaya Moe · Josephine Kunz

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Kaya Moe Josephine Kunz
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kaya Moe 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLWW
Josephine Kunz 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaya Moe 1582 · Josephine Kunz 1438
Kaya MoeJosephine Kunz
Our model70%30%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kaya Moe (rating 1582 vs 1438).
  • Kaya Moe is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Kaya Moe makes many double faults (6.5/match).
  • Note: Josephine Kunz makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Kaya MoeJosephine Kunz
Win %80%30%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.50.9-1.6
Games (G-P)12.9-8.78.4-11.1
Aces3.20.3
Double faults6.54.3
1st serve %69.7%52.4%
Break %42.9%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaya Moe

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Gabia Paskauskas
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/10 Amina Salibayeva
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/10 Francesca Mattioli
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
28/10 Kaede Usui
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/10 Saray Yli-Piipari
UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
15/08 Ava Esposito Cogan
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Amina Salibayeva
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
13/08 Audrey Aulia
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/08 Ariana Gilbert
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-1 18-10 W
11/08 Isabella Camacho
UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Josephine Kunz

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Maria Kononova
W100 New Braunfels
1-2 7-16 L
26/10 Alize Lim
W100 New Braunfels
2-1 13-9 W
21/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Aurora Corvi
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/07 Milica Stosovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Dune Vaissaud
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L
15/06 Elena Grekul
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
09/06 Leonie Schuknecht
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
1-2 9-9 L
14/05 Ksenia Laskutova
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
13/05 Agustina Soto Neira
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaya Moe vs Josephine Kunz?

Our model gives 69% to Kaya Moe, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.