Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 11/11, 21:00
Prediction: Mia Kupres vs Claudia Gasparovic
Team pages: Mia Kupres · Claudia Gasparovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Kupres
Claudia Gasparovic
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Kupres
8-2 (W-L)
Claudia Gasparovic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Kupres 1527 · Claudia Gasparovic 1438
| Mia Kupres | Claudia Gasparovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Kupres (rating 1527 vs 1438).
- Mia Kupres is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mia Kupres | Claudia Gasparovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.8 | 11.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 46% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Kupres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Norman |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Aysegul Mert W35 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Love-Star Alexis W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Eva Maria Ionescu UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Sona Depesova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Alexandra Grilliot UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Lauren Seye UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Valeriia Krokhotina UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Valeria Savinykh WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Claudia Gasparovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Franziska Sziedat W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Pia Lovric W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 07/05 | Valeriia Iushchenko W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/04 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/04 | Ana Mitevska Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/04 | Tea Kovacevic Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/04 | Despina Papamichail Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Kupres vs Claudia Gasparovic?
Our model gives 74% to Mia Kupres, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.