Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 11/11, 00:00
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Jenna Dean
Team pages: Kelly Keller · Jenna Dean
Prediction summary
Winner
Kelly Keller
Jenna Dean
Estimated games
18.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller
3-7 (W-L)
Jenna Dean
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1455 · Jenna Dean 1406
| Kelly Keller | Jenna Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kelly Keller (rating 1455 vs 1406).
- Note: Kelly Keller makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Jenna Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.3 | 0.3-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.3 | 3.9-11 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 47.6% | 46.1% |
| Break % | 63.6% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Scarlett Fagan W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Natalie Kha W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Iryna Shymanovich UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Anastasia Lizunova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Kamilla Bartone W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Andrea Roots W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 03/09 | Johanna Silva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Jenna Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Viktoriia Dema UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Katsiaryna Starastsenka UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Mayu Crossley UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
1-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 01/06 | Kylie Collins W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Clervie Ngounoue W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Sofia Johnson W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Adriana Reami W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Jenna Dean?
Our model gives 62% to Kelly Keller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.