Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 11/11, 05:00
Prediction: Sae Noguchi vs Sara Saito
Team pages: Sae Noguchi · Sara Saito
Prediction summary
Winner
Sae Noguchi
Sara Saito
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sae Noguchi
6-4 (W-L)
Sara Saito
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sae Noguchi 1563 · Sara Saito 1542
| Sae Noguchi | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Sae Noguchi | Sara Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.5 | 13.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 58.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Nagi Hanatani W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Shiho Tsujioka W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Jiangxue Han W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Himari Sato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 06/11 | JiaYi Wang W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Zhuoxuan Bai W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Yuki Naito W100 Incheon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Madison Sieg W75 Toronto |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Toronto |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Linea Bajraliu W75 Saguenay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/10 | Clervie Ngounoue W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/10 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W50 Quebec City |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sae Noguchi vs Sara Saito?
Our model gives 58% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.