Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Mutsumi Uemura vs Hanna Chang
Team pages: Mutsumi Uemura · Hanna Chang
Prediction summary
Winner
Mutsumi Uemura
Hanna Chang
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mutsumi Uemura
6-4 (W-L)
Hanna Chang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mutsumi Uemura 1527 · Hanna Chang 1567
| Mutsumi Uemura | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hanna Chang (rating 1527 vs 1567).
- Note: Hanna Chang makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Mutsumi Uemura | Hanna Chang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.8 | 10-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mutsumi Uemura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ena Shibahara W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Riko Kikawada W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 20/10 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Ena Shibahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 03/10 | Mio Mushika W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Hanna Chang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Xinxin Yao W100 Incheon |
1-2 | 6-15 | L |
| 25/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/10 | Connie Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Salma Drugdova W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Nika Hurkacz W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Janae Preston W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mutsumi Uemura vs Hanna Chang?
Our model gives 67% to Hanna Chang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.