Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 11/11, 02:00
Prediction: Yuno Kitahara vs Heather Watson
Team pages: Yuno Kitahara · Heather Watson
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuno Kitahara
Heather Watson
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuno Kitahara
6-4 (W-L)
Heather Watson
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuno Kitahara 1535 · Heather Watson 1465
| Yuno Kitahara | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuno Kitahara (rating 1535 vs 1465).
- Note: Heather Watson makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Yuno Kitahara | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-8.5 | 11.1-13.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuno Kitahara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Kisa Yoshioka W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Hiroko Kuwata W50 Yokohama |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Kurea Hayasaka W35 Hamamatsu |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/11 | Natsuho Arakawa W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Mutsumi Uemura W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Ikumi Yamazaki W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Himari Sato W35 Wagga Wagga |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Heather Watson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Alycia Parks WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 17/10 | Emerson Jones WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Angela Fita Boluda US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Claire Liu US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Anna Blinkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/07 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuno Kitahara vs Heather Watson?
Our model gives 65% to Heather Watson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.