Tennis · M15 Naples · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Mitchell Sheldon vs Joao Portugal
Team pages: Mitchell Sheldon · Joao Portugal
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitchell Sheldon
Joao Portugal
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchell Sheldon
6-4 (W-L)
Joao Portugal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Sheldon 1474 · Joao Portugal 1498
| Mitchell Sheldon | Joao Portugal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mitchell Sheldon | Joao Portugal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.4 | 10.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Sheldon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jelani Sarr M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Ozan Baris M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | William Mroz Mroz M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Marko Miladinovic M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Billy Suarez M25 Champaign |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Colter Amey M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | William Manning M25 Louisville |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 27/06 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Joao Portugal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Colin McPeek UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Chad Miller UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Przemyslaw Zielinski UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Saul Berdullas Calvino UTR Pro Chicago · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Samuel Rovai UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Eliot Nobel UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Mak Mikovic UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Oskar Jansson UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Andreas Loizas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Sheldon vs Joao Portugal?
Our model gives 67% to Mitchell Sheldon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.