Tennis · W35 Weston · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Lexington Reed vs Rachel Gailis
Team pages: Lexington Reed · Rachel Gailis
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexington Reed
Rachel Gailis
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington Reed
6-4 (W-L)
Rachel Gailis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexington Reed 1504 · Rachel Gailis 1496
| Lexington Reed | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lexington Reed | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.2 | 9.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Deniz Dilek W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Divna Ratkovic W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Carmen Andreea Herea W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Arina Bulatova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Katrina Scott W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Rachel Gailis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Oceane Babel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Lisa Peer W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Laura Hietaranta W15 Hameenlinna |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Dasha Lopatetskaya W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Vicky Van De Peer W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Cara Korhonen W15 Hameenlinna |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Yexin Ma W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexington Reed vs Rachel Gailis?
Our model gives 53% to Lexington Reed, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.