Tennis · M15 Zamora · 10/11, 17:00
Prediction: Alexander Bernard vs Joaquin Bianchi
Team pages: Alexander Bernard · Joaquin Bianchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bernard
Joaquin Bianchi
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bernard
7-3 (W-L)
Joaquin Bianchi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bernard 1566 · Joaquin Bianchi 1496
| Alexander Bernard | Joaquin Bianchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1566 vs 1496).
Statistics
| Alexander Bernard | Joaquin Bianchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.1 | 8.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bernard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Blaise Bicknell M15 Pembroke |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Pembroke |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Max Dahlin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Albieri M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Matisse Farzam M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Stenzer M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Jakub Kroslak UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Elie Elie Azoulay UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Joaquin Bianchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Jesus Martinez Miranda M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Tarun Karra M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Rahul Machavarapu M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/03 | Jan Kupcic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/03 | Matic Dimic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/12 | Leonardo Borrelli UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 13/12 | Raghav Jaisinghani UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/12 | Vadym Konovchuk UTR Pro Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bernard vs Joaquin Bianchi?
Our model gives 76% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.