Tennis · M15 Zamora · 10/11, 18:30

Prediction: Matias Soto vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

Team pages: Matias Soto · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Matias Soto Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWLL
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1460 · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 1437
Matias SotoOswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Our model53%47%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Matias SotoOswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.30.7-1.5
Games (G-P)8.9-9.88-10.6
Aces51
Double faults3.42.6
1st serve %72.8%59.8%
Break %34.9%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matias Soto

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Frazier Rengifo
M25 Guadalajara
0-2 9-13 L
31/10 Frazier Rengifo
M15 Mazatlan
0-2 5-12 L
30/10 Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 12-5 W
30/10 Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 12-2 W
27/10 Lance A L Castelan
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Cali · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/10 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Cali · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
06/10 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
29/09 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/09 Martin Landaluce
Davis Cup
0-2 5-12 L

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Blu Baker
M25 Guadalajara
0-2 4-12 L
27/10 Jack McGary
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 12-6 W
06/10 Julio Cesar Porras
M15 Pontevedra
0-2 4-12 L
28/09 David Naharro
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/09 Luis Garcia Paez
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
1-2 7-12 L
30/07 Matt Kuhar
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
29/07 Volodymyr Gurenko
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 18-14 W
23/07 Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Kether Naresh Gonzalez Gonzalez
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/05 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?

Our model gives 74% to Matias Soto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.