Tennis · M25 Montreal · 10/11, 17:30
Prediction: Jake Fellows vs Jared Horwood
Team pages: Jake Fellows · Jared Horwood
Prediction summary
Winner
Jake Fellows
Jared Horwood
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Jake Fellows
6-4 (W-L)
Jared Horwood
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jake Fellows 1539 · Jared Horwood 1483
| Jake Fellows | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jake Fellows (rating 1539 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Jake Fellows | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.2 | 10.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jake Fellows
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Simone Massellani M15 Selva Gardena |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Luca Castagnola M15 Selva Gardena |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Leonardo Taddia M15 Selva Gardena |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Kyle Mckay M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Dylan Leeman M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jared Horwood
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Steven McCartney M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Tiago Pires M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Roan Jones M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Carl Holder M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Harry Jordan M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Michael Wright M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Jack Davison M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jake Fellows vs Jared Horwood?
Our model gives 69% to Jake Fellows, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.