Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 12/11, 03:00
Prediction: Ognjen Milic vs Shunsuke Nakagawa
Team pages: Ognjen Milic · Shunsuke Nakagawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Ognjen Milic
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ognjen Milic
5-5 (W-L)
Shunsuke Nakagawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ognjen Milic 1474 · Shunsuke Nakagawa 1508
| Ognjen Milic | Shunsuke Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ognjen Milic makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Ognjen Milic | Shunsuke Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.6 | 10.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 60% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 26/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Pijus Vaitiekunas Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Ruslan Tiukaev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ognjen Milic vs Shunsuke Nakagawa?
Our model gives 63% to Ognjen Milic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.