Tennis · M25 Montreal · 11/11, 16:00
Prediction: Alexander Rozin vs Daniel De Jonge
Team pages: Alexander Rozin · Daniel De Jonge
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Rozin
Daniel De Jonge
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Rozin
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel De Jonge
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Rozin 1490 · Daniel De Jonge 1505
| Alexander Rozin | Daniel De Jonge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel De Jonge dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Note: Daniel De Jonge makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Rozin | Daniel De Jonge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.7 | 10.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Rozin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jack Anthrop M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Ofek Shimanov M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Kokoro Isomura Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Daniel De Jonge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Jaden Weekes M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Timo Legout Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Stefan Seifert M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Moritz Hoffmann M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Noah Thurner M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Luca Sanchez Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Rozin vs Daniel De Jonge?
Our model gives 51% to Alexander Rozin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.