Tennis · M15 Roldan · 10/11, 13:00
Prediction: Joseph Hernandez vs Lautaro Rocha
Team pages: Joseph Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Joseph Hernandez
Lautaro Rocha
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Joseph Hernandez
1-9 (W-L)
Lautaro Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joseph Hernandez 1380 · Lautaro Rocha 1523
| Joseph Hernandez | Lautaro Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro Rocha (rating 1380 vs 1523).
- Lautaro Rocha is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Joseph Hernandez makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Joseph Hernandez | Lautaro Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-1.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 6-12.2 | 11.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joseph Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Albert Widell UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Nicholas Godsick UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Caleb Saltz UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Antonio Prat UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Stefan Correa UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Ashton Adesoro UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Anton Marchenko M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lautaro Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Luciano Doria UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Lorenzo Gagliardo UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Agustin Fernandez Badia UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Dante Ezequiel Lopez UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 07/05 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/05 | Julian Cundom M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Enzo Lima M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 17/04 | Ramiro Amarilla UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joseph Hernandez vs Lautaro Rocha?
Our model gives 71% to Lautaro Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.