Tennis · M25 Columbus · 10/11, 18:30
Prediction: Alejandro Moreno vs Jan Klimas
Team pages: Alejandro Moreno · Jan Klimas
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Moreno
Jan Klimas
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Moreno
5-5 (W-L)
Jan Klimas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Moreno 1518 · Jan Klimas 1477
| Alejandro Moreno | Jan Klimas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moreno (rating 1518 vs 1477).
- Jan Klimas dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 41.8% break avg.
- Note: Jan Klimas makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Moreno | Jan Klimas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.1 | 10-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 6.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Hugo Coquelin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/09 | Martin Doskocil UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Leo Pade UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jan Klimas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Rafael Ymer M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Eric Crivei M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Henry Lieberman M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | David Bakonyi M15 Poprad |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Daniel Blazka M15 Poprad |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Asier Ayllon Prado UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Adam Jurajda UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Moreno vs Jan Klimas?
Our model gives 69% to Alejandro Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.