Tennis · M25 Columbus · 11/11, 17:00
Prediction: Jack Anthrop vs Aidan Mchugh
Team pages: Jack Anthrop · Aidan Mchugh
Prediction summary
Winner
Jack Anthrop
Aidan Mchugh
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Jack Anthrop
8-2 (W-L)
Aidan Mchugh
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jack Anthrop
0–1
Aidan Mchugh
(1 last)
- 17 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jack Anthrop 1568 · Aidan Mchugh 1521
| Jack Anthrop | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Anthrop (rating 1568 vs 1521).
- Head-to-head: Jack Anthrop 0–1 Aidan Mchugh (1).
Statistics
| Jack Anthrop | Aidan Mchugh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.4 | 10.4-9 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Jack Anthrop 0 – 1 Aidan Mchugh (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jack Anthrop 0–1 Aidan Mchugh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/25 M25 Louisville | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jack Anthrop
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Andres Santamarta Roig M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/10 | Aidan Kim M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Alexander Rozin M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Neo Niedner M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/10 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Rafael Ymer M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Jack Secord M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Ithaca |
1-1 | 8-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Felipe Pinzon Moreno M15 Ithaca |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Aidan Mchugh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Keaton Hance M25 Harlingen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Noah Zamora M25 Harlingen |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Karl Poling M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martin Riu M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jack Anthrop vs Aidan Mchugh?
Our model gives 61% to Jack Anthrop, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.