Tennis · M25 Columbus · 11/11, 17:00
Prediction: Matthew Forbes vs Gavin Young
Team pages: Matthew Forbes · Gavin Young
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Forbes
Gavin Young
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Forbes
2-8 (W-L)
Gavin Young
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Forbes 1435 · Gavin Young 1483
| Matthew Forbes | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gavin Young (rating 1435 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Matthew Forbes | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.3 | 10.3-12 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Preston Stearns M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 20/10 | Jack Secord M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/10 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Duncan Chan Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/10 | James Trotter Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | William Manning Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Jack Anthrop M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Forbes vs Gavin Young?
Our model gives 65% to Gavin Young, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.