Tennis · M25 Columbus · 10/11, 20:00

Prediction: Raphael Perot vs Preston Stearns

Team pages: Raphael Perot · Preston Stearns

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Raphael Perot Preston Stearns
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Raphael Perot 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLL
Preston Stearns 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raphael Perot 1515 · Preston Stearns 1550
Raphael PerotPreston Stearns
Our model45%55%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Preston Stearns makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Raphael PerotPreston Stearns
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12-9.512-9.6
Aces2.45.4
Double faults3.35.5
1st serve %65.7%73.8%
Break %43.7%44.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raphael Perot

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Hunter Heck
M25 Harlingen
1-2 13-12 L
14/10 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
M25 Austin
1-2 11-14 L
29/09 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
10/09 Robin Bertrand
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
08/09 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Robin Bertrand
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 16-11 W
05/09 Alex Knaff
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-8 W
04/09 Alexandre Reco
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Liam Branger
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 16-9 W
01/09 Julio Cesar Porras
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 12-3 W

Preston Stearns

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/10 Jerry Roddick
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
1-2 17-16 L
29/10 Alejandro Arcila
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
28/10 Matthew Forbes
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 8-6 W
27/10 Jan Chlodnicki
M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/09 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
29/08 Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign
0-2 8-13 L
28/08 Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign
2-0 13-9 W
27/08 Joshua Peck
M15 Champaign
2-0 13-9 W
26/08 Noa Vukadin
M15 Champaign
2-0 12-3 W
25/08 Jon Gamble
M15 Champaign
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raphael Perot vs Preston Stearns?

Our model gives 59% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.