Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 11/11, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolas Mejia vs Max Hans Rehberg
Team pages: Nicolas Mejia · Max Hans Rehberg
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Mejia
Max Hans Rehberg
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Mejia
4-6 (W-L)
Max Hans Rehberg
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Mejia 1469 · Max Hans Rehberg 1538
| Nicolas Mejia | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Hans Rehberg (rating 1469 vs 1538).
- Max Hans Rehberg is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Mejia | Max Hans Rehberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.4 | 12.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Mejia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Federico Coria Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Michael Zheng ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Tallon Griekspoor Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Max Hans Rehberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 03/11 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Braden Shick Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Mejia vs Max Hans Rehberg?
Our model gives 56% to Max Hans Rehberg, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.