Tennis · UTR Pro Oxford · 11/11, 21:00
Prediction: Kai Milburn vs Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes
Team pages: Kai Milburn · Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes
Prediction summary
Winner
Kai Milburn
Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Milburn
10-0 (W-L)
Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kai Milburn 1643 · Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes 1512
| Kai Milburn | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kai Milburn (rating 1643 vs 1512).
- Kai Milburn is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kai Milburn | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-5.6 | 9.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kai Milburn
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Carlos Melgosa UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Tom Garcia UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/08 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Kotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Tom Garcia UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Jack Anthrop M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Prathinav Chunduru M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Jules Leroux M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Xavier Calvelo M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Atakan Karahan UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 05/12 | Loan Lestir UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/12 | Marshall Landry UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kai Milburn vs Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes?
Our model gives 61% to Kai Milburn, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.