Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Team pages: Tiago Cacao · Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Cacao
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Cacao
5-5 (W-L)
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Cacao 1463 · Goncalo Da Rosa Castro 1438
| Tiago Cacao | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Goncalo Da Rosa Castro makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Cacao | Goncalo Da Rosa Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.8 | 7.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Tiago Torres M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Andrea Paolini M15 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Duarte De Lima Sanches M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Peter Alam M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Lameck Bagerbaseh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/02 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Cacao vs Goncalo Da Rosa Castro?
Our model gives 74% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.