Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Pedro Rodenas
Team pages: Rafael Izquierdo Luque · Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
2-8 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael Izquierdo Luque 1410 · Pedro Rodenas 1479
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1410 vs 1479).
- Pedro Rodenas is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Rafael Izquierdo Luque | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.9 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ziga Sesko Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/08 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Olle Wallin Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Michiel de Krom M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 59% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.