Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 10/11, 12:30
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Joao Dinis Silva
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Joao Dinis Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Joao Dinis Silva
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
3-7 (W-L)
Joao Dinis Silva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
0–1
Joao Dinis Silva
(1 last)
- 07 May1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1460 · Joao Dinis Silva 1430
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Joao Dinis Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 0–1 Joao Dinis Silva (1).
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Joao Dinis Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.2 | 9.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 0 – 1 Joao Dinis Silva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 0–1 Joao Dinis Silva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 M25 Loule | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Malta |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 11/10 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Calum Puttergill Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Joao Dinis Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Ivan Gakhov Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Joao Deus M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Rafael De Alba M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Joao Dinis Silva?
Our model gives 60% to Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.