Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 10/11, 12:30
Prediction: Aleksandr Braynin vs Francisco Rocha
Team pages: Aleksandr Braynin · Francisco Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandr Braynin
Francisco Rocha
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandr Braynin
8-2 (W-L)
Francisco Rocha
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aleksandr Braynin
1–0
Francisco Rocha
(1 last)
- 17 Oct2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandr Braynin 1454 · Francisco Rocha 1439
| Aleksandr Braynin | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Aleksandr Braynin 1–0 Francisco Rocha (1).
Statistics
| Aleksandr Braynin | Francisco Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-13 | 9.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Aleksandr Braynin 1 – 0 Francisco Rocha (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aleksandr Braynin 1–0 Francisco Rocha
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/23 ITF M25 Tavira | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandr Braynin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Malta |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Manas Manoj Dhamne M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Malta |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Julien Penzlin M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/10 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 06/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Francisco Rocha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Lui Maxted Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandr Braynin vs Francisco Rocha?
Our model gives 52% to Francisco Rocha, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.