Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:30
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Filip Misolic
Team pages: Thiago Monteiro · Filip Misolic
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Filip Misolic
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
7-3 (W-L)
Filip Misolic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1481 · Filip Misolic 1572
| Thiago Monteiro | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Misolic (rating 1481 vs 1572).
- Filip Misolic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-13.2 | 12.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Leonardo Storck Franca Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Filip Misolic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Alan Magadan Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/11 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/11 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Mateus Alves Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Martin Baquero Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Filip Misolic?
Our model gives 57% to Filip Misolic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.