Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:10
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Oriol Roca Batalla
Team pages: Alan Magadan · Oriol Roca Batalla
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Oriol Roca Batalla
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
5-5 (W-L)
Oriol Roca Batalla
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1502 · Oriol Roca Batalla 1544
| Alan Magadan | Oriol Roca Batalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oriol Roca Batalla (rating 1502 vs 1544).
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Oriol Roca Batalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.7 | 10.4-8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Oriol Roca Batalla
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Emilio Camacho Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/11 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Juan Ignacio Gallego Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Francesco Forti Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Luca Potenza Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Oriol Roca Batalla?
Our model gives 69% to Oriol Roca Batalla, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.