Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
Team pages: Daniel Rincon · Santiago De La Fuente
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Santiago De La Fuente
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Santiago De La Fuente
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1498 · Santiago De La Fuente 1550
| Daniel Rincon | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago De La Fuente (rating 1498 vs 1550).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Santiago De La Fuente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.2 | 11.4-12.7 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 53% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Santiago De La Fuente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 02/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/11 | Faustino Boffelli Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Boris Arias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Matias Franco Descotte Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente?
Our model gives 64% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.