Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim
Team pages: Maxence Bertimon · Eric Vanshelboim
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxence Bertimon
Eric Vanshelboim
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maxence Bertimon
4-6 (W-L)
Eric Vanshelboim
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxence Bertimon 1445 · Eric Vanshelboim 1510
| Maxence Bertimon | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1445 vs 1510).
- Eric Vanshelboim is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maxence Bertimon | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.2 | 10.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 37.4% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxence Bertimon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Felipe Virgili Berini M25 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Felix Balshaw M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emilien Demanet M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/04 | Mika Petkovic M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/03 | Marvin Moeller M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/03 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Thionville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Pierre Yves Bailly M25 Hazebrouck |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Eric Vanshelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Valencia |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 19/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/09 | Valerio Bracci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxence Bertimon vs Eric Vanshelboim?
Our model gives 64% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.