Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Gabriele Pennaforti vs Luca Potenza
Team pages: Gabriele Pennaforti · Luca Potenza
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Pennaforti
Luca Potenza
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Pennaforti
3-7 (W-L)
Luca Potenza
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Pennaforti 1474 · Luca Potenza 1495
| Gabriele Pennaforti | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabriele Pennaforti makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Pennaforti | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11.6 | 12.4-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 6.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 69% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Pennaforti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Ruben Hartig M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Matteo Vavassori M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Sibenik |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Nicholas David Ionel M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Luca Potenza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Finn Bass Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Pennaforti vs Luca Potenza?
Our model gives 59% to Luca Potenza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.