Tennis · M25 San Gregorio · 11/11, 09:30
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
6-4 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1526 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1540
| Samuele Pieri | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.1 | 11.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Valencia |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/11 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Valencia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M25 Valencia |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/10 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Miguel Damas Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Andrea De Marchi M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 05/11 | Pietro Marino M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Berto M15 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Dimitar Kisimov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Daniele Minighini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 65% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.