Tennis · M25 Santa Cruz · 10/11, 14:00
Prediction: Nicolas Zanellato vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Team pages: Nicolas Zanellato · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Zanellato
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Zanellato
6-4 (W-L)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Zanellato
1–2
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
(3 last)
- 05 Mar1-2 17-18L
- 06 Oct2-0 13-9W
- 07 May0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Zanellato 1480 · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1533
| Nicolas Zanellato | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (rating 1480 vs 1533).
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Zanellato 1–2 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (3).
Statistics
| Nicolas Zanellato | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.9 | 11.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 33.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Nicolas Zanellato 1 – 2 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Zanellato 1–2 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 M25 Yerba Buena | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 06/10/25 ITF M25 Rio de Janeiro | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05/24 Challenger Santos | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Zanellato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Fermin Tenti M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 21/10 | Mateo Barreiros Reyes M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Breno Braga M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/09 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Belem |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Belem |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Wilson Leite Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 19/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe De Dios Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Ciancaglini Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Zanellato vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Our model gives 64% to Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.