Tennis · M25 Santa Cruz · 10/11, 14:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Javier Barranco Cosano

Team pages: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · Javier Barranco Cosano

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Javier Barranco Cosano
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWLL
Javier Barranco Cosano 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1497 · Javier Barranco Cosano 1496
Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJavier Barranco Cosano
Our model50%50%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Javier Barranco Cosano makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJavier Barranco Cosano
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.1-1.2
Games (G-P)10.5-8.610.2-8.8
Aces2.61.8
Double faults2.15.4
1st serve %69.3%62.8%
Break %50.3%52.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
1-2 16-18 L
27/10 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/10 Sergio Castro
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/10 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
11/10 Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/10 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
1-2 12-12 L
04/10 Franco Ribero
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/09 Tomas Barrios Vera
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/09 Wilson Leite
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/09 Bruno Milani
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Javier Barranco Cosano

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Florence · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
18/10 Jacopo Landini
Challenger Florence · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
11/10 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Maia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
07/10 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Braga · Clay
1-2 14-13 L
04/10 Hugo Maia
Challenger Braga · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
01/10 Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
30/09 Oriol Font
M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
20/09 Elia Ruffino
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Alejandro Garcia
M25 Oviedo
1-2 14-14 L
19/08 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Javier Barranco Cosano?

Our model gives 53% to Javier Barranco Cosano, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.