Tennis · M25 Santa Cruz · 10/11, 14:00
Prediction: Valerio Aboian vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Team pages: Valerio Aboian · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Valerio Aboian
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Valerio Aboian
4-6 (W-L)
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valerio Aboian
1–0
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
(1 last)
- 17 Dec2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerio Aboian 1521 · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1482
| Valerio Aboian | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Valerio Aboian dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 50.4% break avg.
- Valerio Aboian is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Valerio Aboian 1–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (1).
Statistics
| Valerio Aboian | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.5 | 10.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Valerio Aboian 1 – 0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valerio Aboian 1–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/21 ITF M15 Lambare | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerio Aboian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Federico Coria Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Alan Magadan Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Matias Soto Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Felipe De Dios Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Joao Pessoa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerio Aboian vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro?
Our model gives 66% to Valerio Aboian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.