Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 19:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Oliver Tarvet
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Oliver Tarvet
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
4-6 (W-L)
Oliver Tarvet
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1500 · Oliver Tarvet 1669
| Ozan Baris | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1500 vs 1669).
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 57.3% break avg.
- Oliver Tarvet is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Oliver Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 13.3-5.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 80.5% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Jangjun Kim Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 25/10 | Hunter Heck Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Matt Ponchet M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/10 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Mika Petkovic M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Conor Gannon M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Mika Petkovic M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Jake Evans M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model gives 79% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.