Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton
Team pages: Lui Maxted · Hynek Barton
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Hynek Barton
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
6-4 (W-L)
Hynek Barton
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1579 · Hynek Barton 1478
| Lui Maxted | Hynek Barton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1579 vs 1478).
- Hynek Barton dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 47.4% break avg.
- Lui Maxted is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Hynek Barton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.2 | 11.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/11 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Tyler Zink M25 Norman |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Ilya Snitari M25 Norman |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Hynek Barton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Toby Samuel Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/10 | Stefan Latinov Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton?
Our model gives 57% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.