Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 17:30
Prediction: Petr Nesterov vs Timo Legout
Team pages: Petr Nesterov · Timo Legout
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Nesterov
Timo Legout
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Nesterov
4-6 (W-L)
Timo Legout
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Nesterov 1516 · Timo Legout 1561
| Petr Nesterov | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timo Legout (rating 1516 vs 1561).
Statistics
| Petr Nesterov | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.8 | 12.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Carles Hernandez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Charles Chen Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Emile Hudd Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Valentin Royer Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/10 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Edward Winter Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/09 | Tristan Boyer Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Nesterov vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 65% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.